Taproom Takes (2/11/25): This Week in Markets
- pintn portfolio
- Nov 2
- 2 min read
A steady week — slow grind, not fireworks
Markets are still leaning positive, but the tempo has shifted from sprint to jog. Good environment for patient investors, not traders chasing noise.
Stocks
Markets eased after a strong run. Tech paused, financials and energy found momentum.
What I’m watching
Big tech earnings — do beats continue?
Rotation towards “boring winners”: banks, utilities, infrastructure
Market preference shifting to real profits over hype
Pint takeaway: Quality is still king. Chasing speculative names now = stale beer vibes.
Central Banks & Rates
Fed + RBA steady. Cuts expected — later, not soon.
What I’m watching
Inflation trends — easing or sticky?
Any stress hints (“financial stability” code language)
Aussie household + lending stress
Pint takeaway: This is not a panic environment — it’s a stay consistent and accumulate phase.
Bonds & Currency
Stable bonds. Aussie dollar supported by commodities.
What I’m watching
Yield curve slope — early cycle signal
China policy chatter → commodities + AUD
USD strength → crypto sensitivity
Pint takeaway: Stable rates backdrop = supportive for long-term compounding.
Commodities
Oil firmer, gold steady with hedge flows.
What I’m watching
Geopolitics and supply headlines
Gold holding new levels
Copper re-entering the conversation (AI + electrification theme)
Pint takeaway: Real-asset momentum builds slowly, then suddenly.
Crypto
Bitcoin + ETH consolidating calmly. Select altcoin movement — no true alt-season yet.
What I’m watching
Bitcoin dominance → alt season trigger
ETH ecosystem activity + L2 flows
SOL, AVAX, LINK, SUI accumulation behaviour
Pint takeaway: Quiet accumulation periods are where future returns are brewed.
Strategy Sip
Add to quality positions slowly
Don’t chase volatility
Maintain dry powder
Focus on long-run themes (AI infra, digital rails, commodities, assets w/ yield or scarcity)
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